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The Tuesday Birthday Problem

I ask people at random if they have two children and also if one is a boy born on a Tuesday. After a long search I finally find someone who answers yes. What is the probability that this person has two boys? Assume an equal chance of giving birth to either sex and an equal chance to giving birth on any day.

What is the probability that this person has two boys?

Tip: Don't conclude too early. 

Click here to know the correct answer! 

Finding The Correct Probability


How tricky it was?

If you think that the probability is 1/2 after reading that the couple has equal chance of having child of either sex then you are in wrong direction.

Take a look at the table below.

Finding The Correct Probability in The Given Case

There are 27 possible combinations when boy is born on Tuesday. Out of which there are only 13 possible combinations where either boy (first or second) is born on Tuesday. 

Hence the probability that the person having at least 1 boy off his 2 boys born on Tuesday is 13/27.
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